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10 Rules for Horse Betting
Rule 1 Money Management
This is the most important rule of all. It is a must
for horse players and all people involved in gambling. If you are serious
about making money gambling you must incorporate a money management system.
I define a money management system as a determination of how much money is
safely wagered on any given bet. Try to find a money management system that
best suits your betting style and bankroll. I will write more about money
management in up coming articles.
Rule 2 Do Not Chase
Like Little Orphan Annie said “the sun will come out
tomorrow.” How many times have you been down, and found yourself playing a
track or race you would not have normally played. What usually happens is
that you force plays and lose, only to be down more money. Being able to
take losses is a difficult lesson to learn, but one that must be learned if
you desire success in gambling. I promise the sun will come out tomorrow
and so will the horses.
Rule 3 Stay Away From Sure Things
Let me say this in plain English, there is no such
thing as a sure thing. Anything can happen in a race. If you have been
around long enough you probably have seen some crazy things happen in
races.
Let me tell you my own true story about tips at the
race track.
I have been an owner of thoroughbred race horses for
about 12 years. That being said, my first time on the backside of the track
was to watch my first horse breeze. While I was there my trainer was
talking to another trainer about the races that day. The other trainer told
us how he loved his horse that was entered to run in a maiden race that
afternoon. I quickly marked it on my program and was looking forward to
making a sizable bet. Shortly later my trainer and I came across another
trainer who told us how he had a great shot in the same maiden race. I
quickly marked it and said to myself, this is great I can make an exacta box
and really make a score. Later the same morning we came across another
trainer and a jockey and believe it or not they both loved their horses in
the same maiden race. Now I had four horses out of nine that had a great
shot that day. I went to the track that afternoon and I handicapped the
race. I found a horse that displayed many of the things I look for when
picking a winner in a maiden race. I then decided to key my selection for 1st
2nd and 3rd in trifectas with the four tips I received
in the morning. Sure money, so I thought. The result was that my pick won
the race and paid $30 and change and only one of the four horses finished
better than 4th. From that day on I have been very skeptical of
inside tips at the track. There is no easy money at the track. You have to
do your work and trust your own picks.
Rule 4 Keep Records
When using a service or your own handicapping
selections, it is very important to keep accurate records. Keeping records
is the only way to determine if your system works. Be sure to allow a fair
amount of time when judging a system or service. I recommend a minimum of
100 bets in order to gauge the reliability of your system. You should keep
records wager types and amounts along with profits and losses. You will be
amazed to see certain patterns develop. This allows you to focus on your
strengths while eliminating your weaknesses. The main reason people do not
keep records is that they cannot bear to see all the losses. If you choose
not to keep records, you will never learn from your mistakes and are sure to
make the same mistakes over and over again.
Rule 5 Look for Value
There are differences of opinion when it comes to the
topic of value. I define value as the risk versus the potential reward.
Some say that value means not playing a favorite or a horse at 3-1 or less.
I do not limit myself to specific odds when determining value. Although I
am the last person to look for favorites, there are times when they offer
value. Value is determined on a race by race basis. When handicapping
races it is a good idea to play lines maker. Handicappers often overlook
this idea, but it is useful in uncovering value in a race. I try to find
races where a favorite is over bet and vulnerable. Doing this will increase
your ROI (return on investment) over the long run.
Rule 6 Do Not Force a Bet
This is a difficult rule for horse handicappers.
There are many races in a day and many days in a year. So do not make a bet
unless you feel it is a smart one. A serious horse handicapper must have
the discipline to pass on races about which he does not have strong
opinion. Before you bet, ask yourself, “is it a good bet.” Listen to
yourself, there should be not regrets on the wager you make.
Rule 7 Be Flexible on Betting Angles
Successful Handicappers are not a slave to any
particular angle. Using only one angle greatly limits your potential
profits. It is important to learn and incorporate different angles when
handicapping horses. An astute handicapper can determine which angles to
apply to a particular race. Speed figures, pace, drop downs, pedigrees
etc., are all valuable and should be used in conjunction when looking for a
winner.
Rule 8 Be Prepared
The boy scouts preach, “Be prepared.” This seems
obvious but the advice is seldom followed. First, look over the card in
order to find races with value. These are the races to study further.
Sharp handicappers have most of their work done before the track opens.
When at the track, get the scratches and determine if it affects your
selections. Since you did your home work you will have time to adjust or
cancel your play. Doing your work in advance also allows time to view the
horses and the tote board before making your bet.
Rule 9 Trust Your Instincts
To be a successful handicapper you must trust your
instincts. I personally struggled with this in the beginning of my career.
I would handicap the race, circle my picks and then begin to second guess
myself. The result was that many more times than not my original picks were
winners. It took many losing tickets to learn “think long, think wrong”.
Go with your first instincts and trust your skills as a handicapper.
Rule 10 Have the Winner’s Attitude
Although I mention this last it should probably be
first on my list. If you go to the track without a winner’s attitude, you
have lost before you have begun. In order to win at any type of gambling
you must be confident. The one thing all the so called hard luck people
have in common is a lack of a winning attitude. If you have a losing
attitude your subconscious mind will make losing a reality. Conversely if
you have the winner’s attitude your subconscious mind will allow you to make
accurate decisions. If you do not have the proper mind set to gamble,
please don’t. You will only self fulfill your losing prophecy.
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